Predictors of success after in vitro fertilization.

The last few decades have witnessed a rise in the global uptake of in vitro fertilization (IVF) treatment. To ensure optimal use of this technology, it is important for patients and clinicians to have access to tools that can provide accurate estimates of treatment success and understand the contribution of key clinical and laboratory parameters that influence the chance of conception after IVF treatment. The focus of this review was to identify key predictors of IVF treatment success and assess their impact in terms of live birth rates. We have identified 11 predictors that consistently feature in currently available prediction models, including age, duration of infertility, ethnicity, body mass index, antral follicle count, previous pregnancy history, cause of infertility, sperm parameters, number of oocytes collected, morphology of transferred embryos, and day of embryo transfer.

Prophecy, prediction, and prognosis - can we improve the advice we give on the chance of pregnancy and treatment options for infertility?

Giving patients an accurate prognosis of their chances of achieving pregnancy is difficult with our current knowledge and technology. We need new approaches and thinking to provide truthful information.

Evaluating prognosis in unexplained infertility.

IMPORTANCE: The diagnosis of unexplained infertility presents a dilemma as it signifies both uncertainty about the cause of infertility and the potential for natural conception. Immediate treatment of all would result in overtreatment. Prediction models estimating the likelihood of natural conception and subsequent live birth can guide treatment decisions. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate if in couples with unexplained infertility, prediction models are effective in guiding treatment decisions. EVIDENCE REVIEW: This review examines 25 studies that assess prediction models for natural conception in couples with unexplained infertility in terms of derivation, validation, and impact analysis. FINDINGS: The largest prediction models have been integrated in the synthesis models of Hunault, which includes female age and infertility duration, having been pregnant before and motile sperm percentage. Despite its limited discriminative capacity, this model demonstrates excellent calibration. Importantly, the impact of the Hunault model has been evaluated in randomized clinical trials, and shows that in couples with unexplained infertility and 12-month natural conception chances exceeding 30%, immediate treatment with intrauterine insemination (IUI) and controlled ovarian hyperstimulation is not better than expectant management for 6 months. Below the threshold of 30%, treatment with IUI is superior over expectant management, but immediate in vitro fertilization was not better than IUI. CONCLUSION: In couples with unexplained infertility and a good prognosis for natural conception, treatment can be delayed, whereas in couples with a poor prognosis, immediate treatment (with IUI-controlled ovarian hyperstimulation) is warranted. RELEVANCE: These data indicate that in couples with unexplained infertility, integration of prediction models into clinical decision making can optimize treatment selection and maximize fertility outcomes while limiting unnecessary treatment.

Association of duration of embryo culture with risk of large for gestational age delivery in cryopreserved embryo transfer cycles.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the relationship between the day of embryo cryopreservation and large for gestational age (LGA) infants in women undergoing frozen embryo transfers (FETs) after cryopreservation on days 2-7 after fertilization and to compare the risk of the day of embryo cryopreservation to other possible risk factors of LGA after FET cycles. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Society of Assisted Reproduction Clinical Outcomes Reporting System. PATIENTS: Women undergoing FET cycles. INTERVENTION: Day of cryopreservation. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Singleton LGA infant. RESULTS: A total of 33,030 (18.2%) FET cycles in the study group (n = 181,592) resulted in LGA infants during the study period of 2014-2019. There was an increase in LGA risk when cryopreservation was performed from day 2 (13.7%) to days 3-7 (14.4%, 15.0%, 18.2%, 18.5%, and 18.9%). In the log-binomial model, the risk increased compared with days 2-3 combined when cryopreservation was performed on days 5-7 (adjusted relative risk [aRR] 1.32, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.22-1.44 for day 5, aRR 1.34, 95% CI 1.23-1.46 for day 6, and aRR 1.42, 95% CI 1.25-1.61 for day 7). Other factors most associated with LGA risk in the log-binomial model were preterm parity of >3 compared with 0 (aRR 1.82, 95% CI 1.24-2.69) and body mass index (BMI) of >35 kg/m2 compared with normal weight (aRR 1.94, 95% CI 1.88-2.01). Increasing gravity, parity, BMI, number of oocytes, and embryo grade were also associated with LGA in this model. Asian, Black, Hispanic, and combined Hawaiian and Pacific Islander were protective factors in the model compared with White patients. Low BMI (<18.5 kg/m2) was also considered a protective factor in the model compared with normal BMI. CONCLUSION: Duration of embryo culture was associated with an increased risk of LGA in this study cohort when controlling for known confounders such as maternal BMI and parity. This study sheds new light on the possible link between FET and LGA infants.

Diagnostic or prognostic? Decoding the role of embryo selection on in vitro fertilization treatment outcomes.

In this review, we take a fresh look at embryo assessment and selection methods from the perspective of diagnosis and prognosis. On the basis of a systematic search in the literature, we examined the evidence on the prognostic value of different embryo assessment methods, including morphological assessment, blastocyst culture, time-lapse imaging, artificial intelligence, and preimplantation genetic testing for aneuploidy.

Comparison of outcomes between intracytoplasmic sperm injection and in vitro fertilization inseminations with preimplantation genetic testing for aneuploidy, analysis of Society for Assisted Reproductive Technology Clinic Outcome Reporting System data.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether insemination via intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) provides any benefit over in vitro fertilization (IVF) insemination for nonmale factor infertility with respect to preimplantation genetic testing (PGT) results and pregnancy outcome. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study of the Society for Assisted Reproductive Technology database. SETTINGS: US-based fertility clinics reporting to the Society for Assisted Reprodcutive Technology. PATIENTS: Patients undergoing IVF or ICSI inseminations in nonmale factor PGT for aneuploidy cycles. INTERVENTION: In vitro fertilization vs. ICSI inseminations. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcomes were the percentage of embryos suitable for transfer and live birth rates (LBRs). Secondary outcomes included subgroup analysis for embryos suitable for transfer on cycles from patients ≥35-year-old vs. <35-year-old, ≤6 oocytes retrieved vs. >6 oocytes retrieved, and unexplained infertility. Additionally, gestational age at delivery and birth weight between IVF and ICSI inseminations were evaluated. RESULTS: A total of 30,446 nonmale factor PGT diagnoses for aneuploidy cycles were evaluated, of which 4,867 were IVF inseminations and 25,579 were ICSI inseminations. Following exclusion criteria and adjustment for any necessary confounding variables, no significant differences existed in embryos suitable for transfer between IVF and ICSI treatment cycles, 41.6% (40.6%, 42.6%) vs. 42.5% (42.0%, 42.9%), respectively, or in LBRs, 50.1% (37.8, 62.4%) vs. 50.8% (38.5%, 62.9%), respectively. CONCLUSION: There were no significant differences in the rates of embryos suitable for transfer and LBRs between IVF and ICSI inseminations in nonmale factor cycles undergoing PGT for aneuploidy.

Parental infertility and offspring cardiometabolic trajectories: a pooled analysis of three European cohorts.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether parental infertility is associated with differences in cardiometabolic trajectories in offspring. DESIGN: Pooled observational analysis in three prospective cohorts. SETTING: Three nationwide pregnancy cohorts. PATIENTS: A total of 14,609 singletons from the UK Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children, the Portuguese Geraçao 21, and the Amsterdam Born Children and Their Development study. Each cohort contributed data up to ages 26, 12, and 13 years, respectively. INTERVENTION: Parental infertility is defined as time-to-pregnancy of ≥12 months (n = 1,392, 9.5%). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Trajectories of body mass index (BMI), waist circumference, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) level, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) level, triglycerides level, and glucose level were compared in the offspring of couples with and without infertility. Trajectories were modeled using mixed-effects models with natural cubic splines adjusting for cohort, sex of the offspring, and maternal factors (age, BMI, smoking, educational level, parity, and ethnicity). Predicted levels of cardiometabolic traits up to 25 years of age were compared with parental infertility. RESULTS: Offspring of couples with infertility had increasingly higher BMI (difference in mean predicted levels by age 25 years: 1.09 kg/m2, 95% confidence interval [0.68-1.50]) and suggestively higher diastolic blood pressure at age 25 years (1.21 mmHg [-0.003 to 2.43]). Their LDL-C tended to be higher, and their HDL-C values tended to be lower over time (age: 25 years, LDL-C: 4.07% [-0.79 to 8.93]; HDL-C: -2.78% [-6.99 to 1.43]). At age 17 years, offspring of couples with infertility had higher waist circumference (1.05 cm [0.11-1.99]) and systolic blood pressure (age: 17 years; 0.93 mmHg [0.044-1.81]), but these differences attenuated at later ages. No intergroup differences in triglyceride and glucose level trajectories were observed. Further adjustment for paternal age, BMI, smoking, and educational level, and both parents' histories of diabetes and hypertension in the cohort with this information available (Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children) did not attenuate intergroup differences. CONCLUSION: Offspring of couples with infertility relative to those of fertile couples have increasingly higher BMI over the years, suggestively higher blood pressure levels, and tend to have greater values of LDL-C and lower values of HDL-C with age.

Financial ''risk-sharing'' or refund programs in assisted reproduction: an Ethics Committee opinion.

Financial "risk-sharing" fee structures in assisted reproduction programs charge patients a higher initial fee that includes multiple cycles but offers a partial or complete refund if treatment fails. This opinion of the American Society for Reproductive Medicine Ethics Committee analyzes the ethical issues raised by these fee structures, including patient selection criteria, conflicts of interest, success rate transparency, and patient-informed consent. This document replaces the document of the same name, last published in 2016.

Intracytoplasmic sperm injection 30 years on: too much of a good thing?

Intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) was introduced for male infertility but is now used in many other techniques in assisted reproduction. Indications for ICSI use need to be re-evaluated to ensure appropriate application in infertility management.

Changing gender gap and practice patterns in reproductive endocrinology and infertility subspecialists in the United States: a Society for Reproductive Endocrinology and Infertility report.

OBJECTIVE: To identify changes in current practice patterns, salaries, and satisfaction by gender and by years in practice among board-certified reproductive endocrinology and infertility (REI) subspecialists in the United States. DESIGN: Cross-sectional web-based survey including 37 questions conducted by the Society for Reproductive Endocrinology and Infertility. SETTING: Not applicable. PATIENT(S): None. INTERVENTION(S): None. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): The primary outcome measures were total compensation and practice patterns compared by gender and the type of practice. The secondary outcomes included demographics, the number of in vitro fertilization cycles, surgeries performed, and the morale of survey respondents. RESULT(S): There were 370 respondents (48.4% women and 51.4% men). Compared with a similar survey conducted 6 years earlier, a 27% increase in the number of female respondents was observed in this survey. There was a marginally significant trend toward lower compensation for female than male REI subspecialists (17% lower, $472,807 vs. $571,969). The gap was seen for responders with ≥10 years' experience, which is also when there was the largest gap between private and academic practice (mean $820,997 vs, $391,600). Most (77%) felt positively about the current state of the reproductive endocrinology field, and >90% would choose the subspecialty again. CONCLUSION(S): There has been a substantial increase in the number of recent female REI subspecialists showing less disparity in compensation, and the gap appears to be closing. There is an increasing gap in compensation between private and academic practices with ≥5 years of experience. Reproductive endocrinology and infertility remains a high morale specialty.

Factors affecting live birth rates in donor oocytes from commercial egg banks vs. program egg donors: an analysis of 40,485 cycles from the Society for Assisted Reproductive Technology registry in 2016-2018.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the differences in live birth rates (LBRs), with single embryo transfer (SET), using oocytes from program generated egg donors vs. commercial egg bank donors and other factors affecting LBRs using donor oocytes. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Not applicable. PATIENT(S): A total of 40,485 in vitro fertilization cycles using donor oocytes reported to the Society for Assisted Reproductive Technology registry in 2016-2018. INTERVENTION(S): None. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): Live birth rate and cumulative LBR for SET using donor oocytes. RESULT(S): Multivariate results from the first SET from 19,128 cycles, including 15,429 from program generated egg donors and 3,699 from commercial egg banks, showed, when controlling for all other variables, the following: the LBR in the first SET cycle using commercial egg banks was 53.3% compared with 55.4% using program recruited egg donors (odds ratio [OR], 0.92); a reduction in the LBR with increasing recipient age, ages 40-44 years (OR, 0.80), 45-49 years (OR, 0.77), and >49 years (OR, 0.65); a steady decline in the LBR with increases in recipient body mass index above normal; and a steady increase in the LBR in association with >16 oocytes retrieved. Double embryo transfer increased the LBR (SET, 52%, vs. double embryo transfer, 58%) but also significantly increased the multiple pregnancy LBR, with 43% twins and 0.9% triplets. Blastocyst transfer had a higher LBR than cleavage stage embryos (52.5% vs. 39.5%). Intracytoplasmic sperm injection vs. conventional insemination when using fresh oocytes from program donors had similar LBRs. CONCLUSION(S): When performing in vitro fertilization using donor oocytes with SET, the LBR is affected by oocyte source, recipient age, recipient body mass index, stage of embryo at transfer, and number of oocytes retrieved.

B-cell lymphoma 6 expression is not associated with live birth in a normal responder in vitro fertilization population.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether increased endometrial B-cell lymphoma 6 (BCL6) expression is associated with live birth in a normal responder in vitro fertilization (IVF) population. DESIGN: Case-control study. SETTING: University-affiliated infertility center. PATIENT(S): Two groups of women undergoing IVF with preimplantation genetic testing for aneuploidy followed by warmed, single, euploid embryo transfer. Group 1 consisted of women who failed to achieve live birth, and group 2 consisted of women who achieved live birth. INTERVENTION(S): None. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): Endometrial BCL6 expression measured by immunohistochemistry in endometrial tissue samples. Overexpression was defined by mean HSCORE with a cutoff of positivity of >1.4, as previously described in the literature. RESULT(S): Twenty-seven patients who achieved live birth and 23 patients who failed to achieve live birth were included. B-cell lymphoma 6 expression/HSCORE and live birth rate were not associated (Odds ratio [OR], 0.78 [0.24-2.55]). Using a cutoff of >1.4 for positivity, 8 of 23 samples were positive for BCL6 in the no live birth group, whereas 7 of 27 were positive in the live birth group. There was no significant association between BCL6 positivity and live birth (OR, 0.66 [0.19-2.21]). CONCLUSION(S): The proportion of patients with BCL6 positivity did not significantly differ between those who achieved live birth and those who did not. In the population of patients at our center, who compromise of women who respond normally to IVF stimulation, BCL6 overexpression was not associated with IVF success. Physicians implementing BCL6 testing as a diagnostic tool for clinical decision making should counsel patients that results may have limited utility in predicting IVF outcomes in this population.

Paternal adherence to healthy dietary patterns in relation to sperm parameters and outcomes of assisted reproductive technologies.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether men's adherence to dietary patterns promoted for the prevention of cardiovascular disease is associated with semen parameters and couples' assisted reproductive technology (ART) outcomes. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Fertility center at an academic medical center. PATIENT(S): A total of 245 men and their female partners who underwent 438 ART cycles between 2007 and 2020. INTERVENTION(S): Male pretreatment dietary intake was assessed with a 131-item food frequency questionnaire from which we calculated eight a priori defined scores: Trichopoulou Mediterranean, Alternate Mediterranean, Panagiotakos Mediterranean, Healthy Eating Index, Alternative Healthy Eating Index, American Heart Association, Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension, and Plant-based. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): The primary outcome was live births per treatment cycle. The secondary outcomes were fertilization, implantation, and clinical pregnancy and seminogram parameters. RESULT(S): There was an inverse association between greater adherence by men to the Panagiotakos Mediterranean diet and the American Heart Association dietary pattern and lower fertilization rate. However, there were no significant associations between men's adherence to any of the analyzed dietary patterns and the probabilities of implantation, clinical pregnancy, or live birth in multivariable-adjusted models. No significant differences in any of the semen parameters were found between participants of the lowest quartile and those of the highest quartile of the eight dietary patterns. CONCLUSION(S): These findings suggest that men's adherence to several a priori defined dietary scores with documented cardiovascular benefits is not related to major outcomes of infertility treatment with ART or semen quality.

Black race associated with lower live birth rate in frozen-thawed blastocyst transfer cycles: an analysis of 7,002 Society for Assisted Reproductive Technology frozen-thawed blastocyst transfer cycles.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate if racial/ethnic differences in pregnancy outcomes persisted in frozen-thawed embryo transfer (FET) cycles on a national level. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Clinic-based data. PATIENT(S): A total of 189,000 Society for Assisted Reproductive Technology FET cycles from 2014-2016 were screened, of which 12,000 cycles had available fresh cycle linkage information and ultimately, because of missing data, 7,002 FET cycles were included. Cycles were stratified by race (White, Black, Asian, and Hispanic). INTERVENTION(S): None. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): The primary outcome was live birth rate. Secondary outcomes were implantation rate, clinical pregnancy rate, multiple pregnancy rate, and clinical loss rate (CLR). RESULT(S): Live birth rate was significantly lower in the Black vs. White and Asian, but not Hispanic group. Implantation rate was also significantly lower and CLR higher in the Black group compared with all other groups (all P<.01). Black women had a lower risk of live birth (adjusted risk ratio, 0.82; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.73-0.92) and a higher risk of clinical loss (adjusted risk ratio, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.28-1.99) compared with White women. There was no significant difference between groups in clinical pregnancy rate or multiple pregnancy rate. When the analysis was limited to preimplantation genetic testing FET cycles, there remained a significantly lower implantation rate in the Black group compared with all other groups (all P<.01). CONCLUSION(S): Black race remains an independent predictor of reduced live birth rate in FET cycles, likely because of higher CLR.